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高比例新能源场景下“源网荷储”四主体演化博弈与收益分配机制研究

Research on the Evolutionary Game and Benefit Allocation Mechanism of Source-Grid Load-Storage Entities under High Proportion Renewable Energy Scenarios

  • 摘要: 文章立足我国电力系统运行实际,构建四主体演化博弈模型,重点分析政策补贴、负荷响应能力、新能源出力波动等关键因素对主体行为选择的影响。同时引入改进Shapley值法,综合成本投入、风险承担、协同贡献与政策适配性4项指标,设计更符合国内工程实际的收益分配方案。

     

    Abstract: Based on the practical operation of China’s power system, this paper constructs a four party evolutionary game model and focuses on analyzing the influence of key factors such as policy subsidies, load response capability, and renewable energy output fluctuations on the behavioral choices of different participants. Meanwhile, an improved Shapley value method is introduced to design a benefit allocation scheme that better matches domestic engineering practice by comprehensively considering four indicators: cost input, risk bearing, collaborative contribution, and policy adaptability.

     

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