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基于多源数据融合的电力变压器运行状态智能评估

Intelligent Assessment of Power Transformer Operating State Based on Multi-source Data Fusion

  • 摘要: 针对传统变压器状态评估方法单一、难以处理多源信息模糊与冲突的问题,文章提出一种基于多源数据融合的智能评估方法。首先,构建涵盖油中溶解气体、绝缘油特性及电气性能的多维度指标体系。其次,采用改进的隶属度函数刻画状态模糊边界,并基于离差平方和最大化模型确定指标最优组合权重,完成各指标群的模糊综合评判。最后,将评判结果作为证据,利用D-S证据理论进行多源融合与决策,输出量化信度的状态评估结论。以1台110 kV变压器实测数据验证,本方法有效识别出设备的早期综合劣化,其“注意”状态的信度经多源融合后由0.401提升至0.503,较传统方法更具前瞻性与可靠性,为变压器状态精准评估提供了新途径。

     

    Abstract: To address the problems that traditional transformer state assessment methods are relatively simple and have difficulty handling ambiguity and conflicts in multi-source information, this paper proposes an intelligent assessment method based on multi-source data fusion. First, a multidimensional indicator system covering dissolved gas in oil, insulating oil characteristics, and electrical performance is constructed. Second, an improved membership function is used to characterize the fuzzy boundaries of operating states, and the optimal combined weights of the indicators are determined based on a sum of squared deviations maximization model, thereby completing the fuzzy comprehensive assessment of each indicator group. Finally, the assessment results are used as evidence, and D-S evidence theory is employed for multi-source fusion and decision making, outputting state assessment conclusions with quantified confidence degrees. Verification using measured data from a 110 kV transformer shows that the proposed method effectively identifies early comprehensive degradation of the equipment. After multi-source fusion, the confidence degree of the “attention” state increases from 0.401 to 0.503, making the method more forward looking and reliable than traditional methods. This provides a new approach for accurate transformer state assessment.

     

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