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面向精准管控的规模化灵活负荷资源调控快速决策方法

A Rapid Decision-Making Method for Scalable Flexible Load Resource Regulation Towards Precise Control

  • 摘要: 针对规模化灵活负荷资源调控中的快速决策需求,提出了一种面向精准管控的快速决策方法,以提升电力负荷的调控效率和精确性,确保资源配置的最优化。引入了决策支持系统的基本框架,基于实际电力负荷数据,构建了综合的数学模型。通过采用遗传算法进行多代迭代优化,结合线性回归模型,探索了电力负荷调控的最佳策略。研究过程中,模型参数不断优化,以实现负荷调节的精准控制。研究显示,遗传算法优化后的负荷调整系数在0.4~0.8之间,能够有效调控用户的电力负荷需求。线性回归模型预测用户负荷完成率在95%~99%之间,模型表现出较高的拟合度和预测准确性,进一步验证了调控方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: To address the rapid decision-making needs in the regulation of large-scale flexible load resources, a fast decision-making method for precise control is proposed, aimed at enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of power load regulation and ensuring optimal resource allocation. A fundamental framework of a decision support system is introduced, and a comprehensive mathematical model is constructed based on actual power load data. By employing genetic algorithms for multi-generational iterative optimization and integrating linear regression models, optimal strategies for power load regulation are explored. Throughout the research process, model parameters are continuously optimized to achieve precise control of load regulation. The study reveals that the load adjustment coefficient optimized by the genetic algorithm falls within the range of 0.4 to 0.8, which can effectively regulate users' power load demand. The linear regression model predicts a user load completion rate of 95% to 99%, demonstrating high goodness of fit and predictive accuracy, further validating the effectiveness of the proposed regulation method.

     

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